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docs(experiment): two in-window process changes in rivet and spar, recorded as deviations - #339

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Nov 3, 2026
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docs/hotspot-deviation-2026-11-03

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@avrabe avrabe commented Nov 3, 2026

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The hotspot protocol requires no other process change in rivet or spar during the window (2026-11-01 to 2027-01-31). Two happened, in both arms on the same terms:

  1. The rivet and spar scheduled routines moved from every 4 h to every 12 h and to claude-opus-5-5 on 2026-11-03 (rivet also stopped treating a public blog page as binding instructions). Measured reason: rivet 442 of 686 and spar 437 of 682 runs (Jul–Oct, from the claude.ai export) failed, and every sampled failure was the weekly usage limit rejecting the run within seconds.
  2. The plugin guards from 0.49.0–0.51.0 load in both repos.

Recorded as a deviation; the readout splits the window at 2026-11-03 and calls a criterion inconclusive if the parts disagree in direction. Claim EXPERIMENT-HOTSPOT-DEVIATION-2026-11-03 pins the heading and the split rule; claim-check 75/75, a one-date edit turns it red.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_01G5qpB7zvxLvdrvn5YRyj4R

…par as deviations

On 2026-11-03 both arms' scheduled routines moved from 4h to 12h and to
claude-opus-5-5 (rivet also stopped treating a public web page as binding),
because about two thirds of their runs died on the weekly usage limit. The
plugin's new guards (0.49.0-0.51.0) also load in both. Symmetric, but a
process change inside the window, so the readout is split at 2026-11-03.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01G5qpB7zvxLvdrvn5YRyj4R
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avrabe enabled auto-merge November 3, 2026 20:40
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avrabe added this pull request to the merge queue Nov 3, 2026
Merged via the queue into main with commit 5c4e317 Nov 3, 2026
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avrabe deleted the docs/hotspot-deviation-2026-11-03 branch November 3, 2026 20:42
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